Self-organized criticality and earthquakes: Difference between revisions

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==The Sandpile Paradigm==
==The Sandpile Paradigm==
[[Image:sandpilereal.jpg|left|thumb|Figure 2|a sand pile with sand being added to the center]]
Consider a pile of sand of any size. As sand is added to the pile(at any position not just limited to the center) the size and slope of the pile will become larger and larger.  Soon it will reach a slope where the addition of more sand will trigger avalanches that will increase in size as the slope of the pile becomes larger and larger.  Eventually this slope will reach a particular size where it will no longer increase as the amount of sand added will balance out with the amount of sand leaving the pile.  This is known as the critical stationary state of the sandpile.  At this point the individual dynamics of each grain of sand is not as important as a new emergent dynamic of the sandpile has become global.  Avalanches may be larger or smaller depending on the location of the avalanche within the sandpile and the physical appearance of the sandpile may change but this dynamic will remain complex.
Consider a pile of sand of any size. As sand is added to the pile(at any position not just limited to the center) the size and slope of the pile will become larger and larger.  Soon it will reach a slope where the addition of more sand will trigger avalanches that will increase in size as the slope of the pile becomes larger and larger.  Eventually this slope will reach a particular size where it will no longer increase as the amount of sand added will balance out with the amount of sand leaving the pile.  This is known as the critical stationary state of the sandpile.  At this point the individual dynamics of each grain of sand is not as important as a new emergent dynamic of the sandpile has become global.  Avalanches may be larger or smaller depending on the location of the avalanche within the sandpile and the physical appearance of the sandpile may change but this dynamic will remain complex.


===The Sandpile Model===
===The Sandpile Model===
Imagine a sandpile with equal sized sand granules that have no imperfections (to simplify the interaction between each sand granule and the ones next to it.  As Bak puts it this is "theoretical physicist's sand".
The best way to understand this is to consider a very simple model which can be easily recreated and simulated using a computer.  Imagine a sandpile with equal sized sand granules that have no imperfections (to simplify the interaction between each sand granule and the ones next to it.  As Bak puts it this is "theoretical physicist's sand".
In order to better understand the dynamic of the sandpile a very simple model can be imagined and
[[Image:Sandpile.JPG|thumb|Figure 3|The Domino Effect of Bak, Kurt, and Chao]]
 
Sandpile Applet[http://www.cmth.bnl.gov/~maslov/Sandpile.htm]
Sandpile Applet[http://www.cmth.bnl.gov/~maslov/Sandpile.htm]



Revision as of 15:41, 21 April 2009

The result of an earthquake. Image from National Geographic

In 1987 the team of Bak, Tang, and Weisenfeld presented a paper on "Self-organized Criticality" which hoped to provide a very simplified model to explain the complexity that is found in nature. Prior to this, many models describing complex systems had been developed however there was no general theory of complexity built on a strong mathematical foundation. The theory with which the team attempted in their paper explains the "self-organized critical state" (SOC) by comparing it to that of a steep sand pile which emits avalanches of all sizes as more sand is added to the system. This state is characterized by the fact that the system has self-organized itself to a point where it is on the border between predictability and unpredictability to the so called "edge of chaos." For the specific case of earthquakes, it can be postulated that the crust of the earth is a highly self-organized system which features earthquakes that are unpredictably strong, where the intensity and frequency of the quakes follow a power law distribution. Power law distributions are a key aspect of SOC.

The Sandpile Paradigm

a sand pile with sand being added to the center

Consider a pile of sand of any size. As sand is added to the pile(at any position not just limited to the center) the size and slope of the pile will become larger and larger. Soon it will reach a slope where the addition of more sand will trigger avalanches that will increase in size as the slope of the pile becomes larger and larger. Eventually this slope will reach a particular size where it will no longer increase as the amount of sand added will balance out with the amount of sand leaving the pile. This is known as the critical stationary state of the sandpile. At this point the individual dynamics of each grain of sand is not as important as a new emergent dynamic of the sandpile has become global. Avalanches may be larger or smaller depending on the location of the avalanche within the sandpile and the physical appearance of the sandpile may change but this dynamic will remain complex.


The Sandpile Model

The best way to understand this is to consider a very simple model which can be easily recreated and simulated using a computer. Imagine a sandpile with equal sized sand granules that have no imperfections (to simplify the interaction between each sand granule and the ones next to it. As Bak puts it this is "theoretical physicist's sand".

The Domino Effect of Bak, Kurt, and Chao

Sandpile Applet[1]

The 'edge of chaos' and power law distributions

The Gutenberg-Richter Law

The crust of the Earth is in a self-organized critical state

Sources

Self-Organized Criticality: Emergent Complex Behavior in Physical and Biological Systems. Cambridge Lecture Notes in Physics Part 10.

How Nature Works: The Science of Self-Organized Criticality. Per Bak.

Modeling Extinction. M.E.J. Newman, R.G. Palmer. Santa Fe Institute Studies in the Sciences of Complexity.